READ-ONLY RESEARCHPOLYMARKET US
Find the signal.
See the math.
Live sports contract prices compared with an independent, de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Every edge is traceable. Missing inputs stay missing.
02 / LIVE BOARD
Today’s market board
Qualified
Modelled
Price only
| Event / selection | Starts | Polymarket ask | Model probability | Edge | Fee-adj. EV | EV ROI | Evidence |
|---|
Checking current contracts and model inputs…
03 / METHOD
Transparent by design.
Observe
Read the current ask price and market metadata directly from the public Polymarket US API.
De-vig
Convert independent bookmaker decimal odds to implied probabilities and normalize each book to remove its margin.
Compare
Use the median fair probability across books. Edge equals model probability minus the Polymarket ask.
Price the fee
EV per contract = model probability − ask − Θ × ask × (1 − ask). No model match means no EV claim.